π Publication Date: 22 June 2025
A major global trade crisis could potentially arise by July 9, 2025. The biggest reason behind this is a new tariff policy being prepared by the Trump administration, which could affect existing agreements with more than 180 trade partners around the world. The move is expected to have a profound impact on global supply chains, currency markets, and investor sentiment.
This tariff policy is considered to be an extension of Trump's "America First" agenda, which includes a strategy to impose heavy duties on foreign goods while giving priority to American producers. This policy change is trending because it can have a direct impact on global financial stability.
This policy could be announced before July 9 and is likely to be implemented within 90 days.
π Fear of decline in stock market:
Dow Jones and Nasdaq have already slipped by -2.5%.
Uncertainty has increased in European and Asian markets.
π Turmoil in currency market:
The dollar index saw a rise, but emerging currencies like INR, BRL, and MXN are under pressure.
π’ Supply chain disruption:
Supply disruption of semiconductors, pharma, and tech parts possible. Costs of companies like Amazon, Apple, and Tesla are expected to increase.
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Q1: Is this tariff policy only for China?
No, this policy can be implemented for 180+ countries, including major global trade partners.
Q2: Will this affect India too?
Yes, India's tech, pharma, and gems-jewelry exports can be affected.
Q3: What will be the impact on the American consumer?
Prices of everyday items in the US may increase, which will increase inflationary pressure.
This potential tariff policy to be announced by July 9 can affect the economy of the whole world. Investors, companies, and governments have started making strategies in this direction. It will be interesting to see whether the Trump administration actually implements it or it changes due to global pressure.